Chiefy asked me to do something along these lines, and I couldn't resist his charms for once. I will list here under a starting point and update it as the week goes on.
Getty Images: Al Riffa is one of the favorites will make his Australian debut in the Melbourne Cup, but is heavily weighted, and can he adapt immediately to the firmer and faster Australian conditions over softer Irish grounds like his trainer and team have done for other Melbourne Cup winners?
Current Market
As of Tuesday 28/10
$6 Al Riffa: trained in Ireland by Joesph O'Brien (son of the legendary Aidan O'Brien) who interestingly he has won the Melb Cup twice with Australian debutants (Rekindling 2017, Twilight Payment 2020); a third time lucky charm?
$6 Half Yours: winner of the Caulfield Cup and trained in Australia by the McEvoy team. I rate would him a top four
$7 Valiant KIng: slashing second in the Caulfield Cup trained by Australia's leading and Great Trainer Chris Waller
$8 Buckeroo: 2nd to Via Vistina in last Saturdays Cox Plate and also trained by Chris Waller
$9 Preage Nocturne
$13 Maydaan
$15 plus Others. A field of 40 hopefuls are in contention at this point in time.
My Early Tips
Box the first 4 in that betting order with a view of getting the Trifecta. Your outlay will be $24 to achieve this for a 100% return $6 will return you 25% if you want just a small flutter.
Update: No 1: 7.30 summer time 28/10/25; Include Absurde and Vauban
Wait
On race day there will be 24 starters subject to late scratcings. The field will be finalised on Saturday night and you will have all your SWEEP information when you wake up Sunday Morning.
I might add that this blog is live, anyone and everyone can put their 2 bobs worth or ask any questions. This information could be completely different by the close of Saturdays Race Meetings, so DO NOT commit to anything yet.
Replies
My wife has been to the races a few times and just goes to drink and party with friends. I am always the only one in the group down where the bookies are watching the prices and jumping in when i see a good price. I hate going with big groups as it is just a drink a thon. I go to races to enjoy the races and betting.
Another pet peeve and it is me i know, is when people call them by their number "Go #4" they have names, show them some respect. Just makes me feel like they are an object.
But i am so looking forward to the yearly chatter of "They whip the horses" and "It is cruel" from those who want to be relevant and model citizens. When in fact it is more so more cruel to not have them race. They are treated as kings. They have the best food, vets, shelter, recovery and paddocks there can be. They are so well looked after. They are born to run. Whipping is a light sting and there are regulations for over whipping. They are beautiful creatures and it breaks my heart when one gets hurt. Though at the same time it can happen anywhere. They could go for a run in the paddock and hurt themselves to the point they need to be put down.
Flatten The Curve ...has good form over distance and is at decent odds.
Also the jockey has a great name.
Don't know much about him/her.... more information Badge?
Good form last 10. Winner over distance. Has raced well against the yank horse. Jockey...Thore-Hammer Hansen.
Never heard of Thore Hammer....met a whore once or twice (window shopping in Amsterdam with my wife).
Norse God of Thunder, Thor, is famous for his hammer.
Big day for the shop, I imagine you receive half a years worth of gaming consoles during Spring ?
LOL, I have been retired for over 12 months Wiz, but I might be able to retrieve your kids consoles, after you hocked them to raise funds for the "haters" group. I have assured Interpol and police the children didn't steal them and that their father had problems. How's that community service going Wiz?
I backed half yours in both cups after the Naturalism. Showed massive acceleration pulling away to win easy that looked like a goods cups trial.
Can sit amongst the pack as has come from worse than midfield a number of times which is important in big field like the Melbourne cup.
Will need some luck at 3200 with pace of the race. Don't think can win a true staying test but if slowly run will likely have 1 of the fastest sprints home down the long straight over horse that bit more 1 paced over 2 miles.
I also liked Vauban and Deakin leading into Caulfield cup but Deakin is now out. Trying not get to involved in watching form of too many horses as it's easy to make a case for plenty of them on their day.
I'll probably stick to my future bets and rely on my wife and niece to pick some roughies to add to first 4s and couple each way bets
Also have some bets on Hedley Grange for Big Dance on cup day. Started following the horse as I have a friend called Hedley and it has made me a lot of money recently. Unfortunately favourite just like half yours but future bets have given be better odds.
Good choices FM ....Half Yours is probably the safest bet, to get that run for your money.....Hedley Grange is a "real winner" of an animal and I could imagine how far up you would be if you have been following him through, the last 12 months.
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