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"HOE, great write up, as per usual you've given a great deal of thought & identified plenty strong positives.
As always, you’ve brought some balance to the force.
My only question here is, with either 1 or 2 being the darker square, what does the…"
As always, you’ve brought some balance to the force.
My only question here is, with either 1 or 2 being the darker square, what does the…"
"Can anyone tell me if Hawkins, Dan Keir, Hands and Grieg are top 30 players? Pretty sure they all were no? Maybe not Keir?? "
"Wizzy, Let’s not go off the reservation. Elite sportspeople don’t have egos? Fair dinkum. We all do.
Bollocks, a 22yo can’t. Pezet will be 23 soon. Sam Walker started at 19, playing seven full-time for the Rooster (21 games debut first year, after…"
Bollocks, a 22yo can’t. Pezet will be 23 soon. Sam Walker started at 19, playing seven full-time for the Rooster (21 games debut first year, after…"
"lol..then off to 360 wiz ha"
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Why wouldn't a good team win in the finals? The reason we haven't done well until now was because we were an average team. It doesn't matter how good your culture is when your squad is average. The average nature of our squad is proven by its three year rolling win rate.
When we made the finals last year our three year win rate was only 51.4%. Why would you expect to beat teams like Melbourne (74.3%) or even Souths (62.2%) who had been winning consistently for years?
Here's the three year win rate for all teams leading into the finals last year:
74.3% Melbourne
71.6% Easts
64.3% Penrith
62.2% Souths
57.7% Canberra
54.2% Cronulla
51.4% Parramatta
44.1% Newcastle
The bottom three teams here plus the Roosters (outliers) were the ones who didn't reach week 3 of the finals. Parra actually had the second worst of all finals teams. This year we will have the third or fourth best three year win rate, meaning we will finally be a legitimate top four team. Also look at points differential. The last time we had a top four differential was 2007. Right now we're third.
That's actually some really good advanced statistical analysis Pou, and relevant too. I'm genuinely impressed. I like the the 3 year rolling win percentage stat. Did you come up with that or did you source it elsewhere ? It does give you a much bigger sample size.
Good analysis Pou. This data maps the progress that the club is making under BA. It also is an indication of how the coach has grown as well.
There is no doubt in my mind that his knowledge has grown as well.
The biggest hurdle for BA and the club now is having the ability to recruit the best talent available. Given we are certainly better at it now than we were when BA started, we still only have one SOO rep. We still have some way to go.
Lets see where we are at after round 26, before you start blowing each others snorkels.
I'd rather be excited about the finals than anxious Bert. We haven't had sustained success like this for a long time.
Anyone who doesn't think we've improved and developed under BA is an absolute flop. Sure he has his weaknesses, but he's built a strong and competitive team after inheriting a spoon side and deserves some gratitude from all the fans, even if you don't think he's going to be the next coach that wins us a Premiership.
Take a second to remember just how bad our team was before he came along... I appreciate those 100 wins.
Couldn't agree more.
Yep, we all get frustrated on occasions, but people have very short memories as to where we were and where we are. Great point!
Yep
As do we all Mick, but that should not lessen what he has achieved. I think we all agree that he has limitations as a coach, but he has brought respect & credibility to our club.
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