Which players in the NRL do you see as being a value investment that you would like to see Parramatta sign?
Often when we discuss player signings, we talk about a player's rumoured market price and their current form. Is that how we should be approaching player recruitment?
Or are we simply gambling and hoping we strike gold?
The way I'm running this little experiment, is to see if we can tie the investment frameworks of renowned investors Warren Buffett and Ben Graham into the NRL player market.
The approach is simple: Great players at a fair price.
That doesn't mean you can't target marquee players, or you're trying to sign Cleary on $500K/year.
It means you're identifying players who have a strong foundation to their game, with a track record that you can quantify.
If you bought them now, for a 4 year contract, would you be happy to have them at the end of that contract, or would you theoretically be able to sell them at a profit?
I had this discussion yesterday regarding Matt Burton.
The market probably rates him at $1m/year, but is that his underlying value to a club? What about his performances at Canterbury make him a million dollar player?
Or would he present an overvalued asset? Would you draw the line at $700k/year as his track record indicates that's where he tops out?
Could you compare him to Dylan Brown in that we saw $1.4m/year as beyond his actual value and that his track record indicated that remaining at Parramatta would represent a poor investment?
Criteria:
- Player of your choosing at any level
- What the market rate is
- What you would pay and why
- Which players you think would be overvalued/undervalued
- How would this align with our need to recruit outside backs?
Replies
NOS, that's a fascinating train of thought. Many here will call you crazy, but I like the idea.
Realistically we are not competing next year, so the earliest window for us is 2028 anyway, and Moses is on the downhill slope now, so maybe it is time to move on.
To defer for one more year with the players and plan you've put there, I think it's a great idea. In fact it's what I'd hope our big wigs are considering every day when they sit down at their desk. Future planning is probably more important than next years roster in many ways.
Or maybe you're just as crazy, Meelky?? Hey??
But yep, exactly.
Currently, we are trying to buy in on companies that have already run - mid season purchases, 12month contracts, players out of favour - they might help you win more games, be more competitive, but will they change the underlying direction?
Our best hope is the next generation - both within & externally - chasing a future ‘disrupter’ over a strong performer right now… and that will take huge $$ to entice.
We give up our best (and most valuable) player, knowing it's a wasted investment, and potentially purchase the ‘next’ Cleary, Haas, Herbie, for far less, and we build around them from within with Iongi, TDS, Smith, Lorenzo and all these young forwards.
We aren't attracting anyone with our good looks, we look awful, it's the $$, plain and simple.
The future isn’t now, it’s in the future, what’s ‘now’ can be meticulous planning, strategy, and a lot of educated risk, so next time the future is now, we don’t look completely unprepared.
Or, it could fall in a heap.
We could lose members, merch, game day $$ etc, we could lose other players now willing to be as patient.
But, Katoa is the key, his potential is limitless & players would follow, imo.
NOS, I think I have a new slogan for us: "The future is not now!" lol
And yes, I'm all kinds of crazy...
Haha.. I thought so, Meelky.
Vaimouga Halisima Layben those 3 especially have been earmarked for the Warriors going foward I don't think you'll get those guys out of there.They look pretty decent and when they played in Wgtn I walked past those 3 and believe you me these guys are units height and size wise.
I agree the younger players currently on board are a must to keep
NEXT GEN Post Moses ERA
1. Iongi
2. Jesse McLean - From the Panthers
3.Casey McLean - Would be idal Centre to build team around
4. Josh Bostock
5.Izak Tago - used in the forward at Panthers
6.Blaze Talagi - Bring him back home to the eels
7. Katoa
8. T. Brown
9. R Smith
10. R. Talagi
11. J. Samrani
12. Sam Hughes - X eel
13.TDS - Ball playing lock
Who's the football manager at that point 👉
Most of these are dreams:
High range 800k+
Cleary, herbie, galvin, strange
Mid 350k-800k:
Xerri, Averillo, Bostock, Best, Tago, Spencer, carrigan, Erin Clarke
350k and uner:
Jett Cleary, Jesse Maclean , Kris Dixon, Jacob Webster, Schiller
I have no idea how good the players in our pathways are. Only seen limited games.
-
1
-
2
-
3
-
4
of 4 Next