This is the equation.
Its just about impossible to finish top 3.
Melbourne are 4th - 1 win ahead with a far better for and against differential. To finish on top of them, we probably have to win all 3 games, and they have to drop 2 games. They play Brisbane, Roosters, Parra. It's not inconceivable and it might come down to the last game.
Rabbits are 5th - same amount of wins, just far better for and against differential. We have to win just 1 more game than them. They play Penrith, Cowboys, Roosters. That's very possible.
Broncos are 6th - same amount of wins, but 39 points ahead on the differential. They play Melbourne, Parra, Dragons. Unless Melbourne and Parra flog them, we probably have to win 1 more game to finish ahead of them. Again, that's quite possible and might be determined by who wins next week.
Parra are 7th and play Dogs, Broncos, Storm. Crucially, the game against Melbourne is at Commbank. We owe the Dogs and Broncos a hiding too. I won't predict how many we will win, but hope it's all 3.
Roosters - 8th, 1 win behind with a far better points differential. They only need to win 1 more game than us to leap frog. They play Tigers, Melbourne, Souths.
We are cheering on Penrith and Broncos (at Suncorp) this week, Roosters and Cowboys next week, and Bunnies and Dragons the following week.
I'd say we are likely to finish 5th or 6th. If so, I'd hate to play Roosters in week 1 of Finals.
Let's hope by some miracle that Melbourne lose to either Broncos or Roosters and we win our next 2, so that we play for 4th spot in the last week.