Just looking ahead and thinking how big the next month of NRL is for the Eels. As we sit at the midway point of the season on 16 competition points and looking back on last years ladder at the end of 26 rounds tells the story.
In 2013 the Cowboys finished in 8th position on 28 points. The Eels currently are 12 points away from last years 8th spot with 16 points. In the next 4 weeks the Eels go away to play a under strength Bulldogs side due to Origin, they then go down to Melbourne to play a struggling Storm side with Origin players backing up from Wednesday to Sunday, then they return home to play a struggling Knights side and they finish the 4 week period with a bye.
If the Eels can pick up all 8 points over the next 4 weeks they will be on 24 points and going by last years ladder they would only need 2 wins from there last 9 games. Last year Grand Finalists, Manly, finished in 4th position with 35 points, so if the Eels can pick up all 8 points from the next 4 weeks and then win 5 or 6 from the last 9 games they would be a chance of a top 4 spot.
As the title says, THE NEXT 4 WEEKS ARE HUGE!
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To win two of those games would be great.
"If the Eels can pick up all 8 points over the next 4 weeks they will be on 24 points and going by last years ladder they would only need 2 wins from there last 9 games".
We have one bye left, so we'd only need 1 win from 8 games remaining.
Same principle for a Top4 finish.
Sorry if I didn't explain it simply enough. The 4th week is the bye. The next 4 rounds are...
Round 14 vs Bulldogs away
Round 15 vs Storm away
Round 16 vs Knights home
Round 17 Bye.
I agree
check out my blog posted about a pretty similar scenario
I believe Parramatta are in the midst of THE most important 4 game stretch of their season so far.
Will the next 4 games DEFINE season 2014 for Parramatta ?
http://www.1eyedeel.com/forum/topics/will-the-next-4-games-define-s...
Points to consider in your blog Slippery
only 1 away win (so far) in 2014
7 away games + 5 home games left in 2014 - Surely Parra will WIN more than 1 away game in 2014 and WILL NOT remain undefeated at home.
Just playing the percentages, let's be generous and give Parra 3 out of 7 away wins and 3 out of 5 home wins - and that's a 6wins and 6 losses coming home + 2pts for the bye giving 30 points and a probable semi final appearance
However - these NEXT 2 games (both away) I believe are of the greatest importance that will provide a window into the future that determines if Parramatta are indeed a pretender or a contender in 2014.
I agree with your blog Slippery - however, I believe the 4 weeks your are talking about are happening RIGHT NOW and we are only half way through them
Either way, Parra has the opportunity to seize control of their 2014 destiny in the upcoming weeks - but it is no "given" considering how awful our AWAY performances are - so If Parra wins ONLY 1 or 2 AWAY games out of 7 and does NOT win all HOME games - then Parra could MISS the semi's also
Both scenarios are highly possible, based on Parra's away record and their jeckel and hyde performances. I believe Parra will finish with about a 50% win loss record in 2014 - anything after that (semi's included) will be a bonus
Either way a 2014 season with 50% win loss ratio after virtually 3 wooden spoons (thank goodness for the win against the Titans in Rd26 in 2011) - is a GREAT season for Parra
It's actually worse (had a better look at the draw)
3 games at Pirek - Knights, Souths, Manly - I cannot expect Parra to win all 3 of these - they might BUT ??
2 (home games) AWAY at ANZ (Dogs) and TIO (raiders) stadium (where the hell is that???)
7 (official) away games + 2 home (really AWAY) = 9 AWAY games
It's really very simple - Parra MUST win close to half (4-5) away games otherwise we are F^CKED in 2014 !!
If we could win two of those 3 games we will be almost assured of a top 8 finish.
It's possible, but they'll have to address their away form.
whoops, sorry mate, my bad.
x 2 and big time !!!!!
Big chance to win the bye.
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