I'm interested in your answers because I'm so undecided myself.
I will say 1.
Assuming we finish 4th, we will probably lose to Panthers, then only hopefully beat either Knights or Bunnies (neither will be easy, but our defence might be good enough). We could go out in straight sets though, particularly if Guth doesn't have a big ball playing game.
If we finish 5th, we will beat sharks then get pumped by either Roosters or Storm.
Don't get me wrong, I will be cheering and punting on Eels being successful, I just have grave doubts at this stage.