I did the ladder predictor and although it is a million to 1 shot we are still a mathametical chance of finals. It is so unlikely betting agencies don't even offer it but it is possible.
We need to win every game, Souths need to win grudge match against roosters and titans over dolphins and few other results, but considering how shit we have been all season what may have been without Moses injury or if Brown was really a Million dollar player. Another 2 or 3 wins which Moses or a real million dollar half would have given us and we could have played finals. In the predictor I didn't change for and against and just had each win as the preset 12points so without for and against we may realistically finish as little as only 2 games out the 8 despite Moses injury, young spine and massive turnover of players.
This is the weakest comp in years which may be 1 of the outlier years where someone outside the big chances such as Penrith, Storm or Roosters win it before we are back to the predicable and regular winners.
It goes to show luck is a major factor in winning a premiership as the year you peak matters. If we had our 2022 year this year I think we compete, make top 4 and play grand final again.
Next year plenty of sides have improvement especially us. Injuries have been a major disruptor this year and easy draws have given dogs and raiders a shot at top 4 and double chance to make grand final while teams in bottom of 8 are all pretty average and riddled with injuries.
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Bulldogs and raiders have had a good run with injuries this season, I guess there's an element of luck with that but it seems to be a war of attrition (can you put a line through the broncos?). Us on the other hand not so good with injuries.
I predicted us to finish mid table so all things considered we've had a good season. We will be better next year and better again after that.