Revealed: The best and worst referee for your team’s run to the 2020 NRL finals

We’ve crunched the numbers on how every referee impacts those teams still alive in the 2020 NRL premiership race – check out which whistle blower loves to hate each team.

Ivan Cleary says he has never sworn at anyone in rugby league.

Not once.

But if someone were to make this Penrith coach drop an f-bomb?

Well, we reckon it’s referee Ashley Klein.

That leading NRL whistleblower who Cleary, almost a year ago to the day, had his now infamous tunnel showdown.

Remember that?

When in a match against Canberra, the Panthers coach was accused, then later cleared, of not only getting up close and personal with Klein at halftime, but saying of the Raiders: “Ashley, they’re f … ing lying all over us. You’ve got to stop them”.

Which brought headlines.

Then a hearing.

Yet officially, nothing more came of the stoush between coach and referee.

But unofficially?

Um, there remains something of an issue.

Specifically, that Penrith lose 71 per cent of all games controlled by Klein.

Or put another way, their worst record under any referee.

Among the worst of any team in the NRL too.

Which undoubtedly, is a worry for the Panthers head coach.

Especially now with his side not only leading the NRL premiership race, but looking — just like each of their rivals — for any little advantage they can find as the October playoffs loom.

Indeed, with the road to grand final day anything but clear — and the top eight, four, even two yet to be decided — League Central has crunched the numbers to provide your ultimate NRL referees guide for the season’s business end.

With help from Fox Sports Stats, we’ve not only identified the best and worst referees for those nine sides still in the premiership race, but also the best and worst of those who are a chance of appearing in the NRL playoffs.

Apart from spanning every game over the past five years, the analysis also includes every referees who has officiated a team on five or more occasions.

So which official does your mob least want to see when it matters most?

The hit list reads as follows …

1. PENRITH

As mentioned above, Klein has a habit of overseeing Penrith losses.

Big time.

In fact, while few clubs have a whistleblower responsible for a worse success rate than at least one in three games, the Panthers win just 29 per cent of matches with Klein in charge.

Best for the westies, meanwhile, is Gavin Badger, with 80 per cent. Among those officials likely to appear in the playoffs however, the honour goes to Adam Gee (61.5%).

2. MELBOURNE

OK, so we could tell you the Storm always do well under referee Cameron Smith.

But given how testy the purple marauders get at this time of year, we’ll play it straight.

Worst referee for the Storm is Matt Cecchin, with whom the side still wins 61.5 per cent of the time.

In fact, the only referee overseeing less than a 50/50 split for the southerners — or is it northerners now? — is the wonderfully named Ziggy Przeklasa-Adamski (43%), but he has only controlled two NRL games this season.

Best for Storm meanwhile is Adam Gee (88%)

3. PARRAMATTA

If you’ve been a Parramatta fan long enough, you love Graeme Atkins.

That old Eels winger who not only scored in the club’s maiden 1981 premiership, but also played over 100 games, starred in three grand finals — four if you include the ’77 replay — and remains fondly remembered as a life member.

But as for son Grant? Nah, not so much.

In fact, when Grant Atkins referees the same club where his old man won a title, they lose 62 per cent of the time. Which isn’t great.

And certainly worth a discussion at the next family BBQ.

Best for Parramatta meanwhile is Gavin Badger (76.5%), while Chris Sutton (61%) is the pick among leading referees.

4. ROOSTERS

Ben Cummins could hardly be accused of hating on the Roosters, especially after his infamous ‘six again’ drama in last year’s grand final.

However the data suggests that, among leading NRL referees, it is Cummins who the back-to-back champions struggle with most — winning just 56.5 per cent of the time.

Special mention also to Gavin Badger, with whom the Chooks win only 37.5 per cent the time.

But the best for Trent Robinson’s men?

That honour goes to Chris Sutton, with an 80 per cent success rate.

5. Canberra

Given we hate to reopen old wounds, maybe Ricky Stuart should look away now.

While it has now been 12 years since Stuart, as Kangaroos coach, delivered his infamous World Cup spray at Ashley Klein, it seems the whistleblower continues to haunt the Raiders coach.

According to Fox Sports Stats, the Green Machine win just 37 per cent of games controlled by Klein. The only referee with a worse record is Peter Gough (17%), although he currently sits outside those most likely to control the NRL finals series.

At the other end of the scale, Canberra win 75 per cent of games officiated by Grant Atkins.

6. Rabbitohs

Put simply, South Sydney win less than one in three games controlled by Adam Gee.

Of the 16 games Wayne Bennett’s men have played under Gee over the past five years, they have succeeded in just five — for a success rate of 31 per cent.

Best for the Bunnies is Chris Sutton, whose success rating is 73 per cent.

7.Knights

He may not have the profile of Wayne Bennett or Nathan Tinkler, but referee Jon Stone also knows how to upset Novocastrians.

Officially, Stoney has controlled 14 Newcastle games — with the Knights losing all of them.

Given the whistleblower sits outside the main group however, controlling just two NRL games this year, the honour then reverts to Matt Cecchin, under whom the Knights boast a success rate of only 20 per cent.

Meanwhile, best for Newcastle is Ashley Klein.

Despite the Knights’ woes in recent years, they have still managed to win half of their 12 games officiated by Klein.

8.Sharks

Henry Perenara may be a Cronulla Old Boy, but the Sharks certainly get no favours from him.

According to Fox Sports Stats, the Sharkies win just 46 per cent of games controlled by the fella who played his final NRL season with Cronulla in 2007.

The Sharks only do worse under Gavin Badger (44%) and Phil Henderson (40%), however both men have controlled only two top grade games so far this season.

Best for the Sharks is Jon Stone, under whom the Shire boys have won all six games. When it comes to referees involved in the big games however, the whistleblower coach John Morris wants most to see is Adam Gee (76.5%).

(Sorry i only copy paste top 8)

"It really all is a guessing game at this point, media is driving the bulldogs angle but the eels side of it has gone silent bascially. I'm not sure if that's a bad thing at all 😂"

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Replies

Sir Col "THE NODDY MUSHROOM" September 3, 2020 at 12:55pm

Stats are an interesting thing because you can get them to support both sides of the argument.

That said what was noticeable is the Ole Badge seems the most consistent for all teams running close to 50%

Ashley Klien is not a FG referees arzole and should be punted to Canada.

Pea Whistle Pennyfarting is another who, although he started his career well, is now one to do the3 bidding of the overlords.

Bottom line is simple - while ever the Betting Agencies continue to run the NRL, The House will always win.

This reply was deleted.

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