UPDATE: Souths won 20-16. The Boogeyman strikes again. They rose to the occasion. Gray-Duncan starred. Eels completed at 70%, made more errors 17-7, made more linebreaks 9-6, made less missed tackles than Souths. Eels — 87 errors in 6 weeks. Our own worst enemy.
The Eels are now hot favourites following the news of Latrell Mitchell being an out. They lose their primary weapon of destruction. But history suggests we still need to be weary.
Since 2017, the Eels have beaten Souths outside Parramatta just once leaking an average 40 points a game. Over the last nine meetings, they’ve managed only a single win in 2023.
They have won almost every Indigenous Round (9 of 11), while the Eels less than half (5 of 11). Souths also have the wood on the Eels (3 of 4) for their Indigenous Round clashes.
Both sides come off nail-biters last week. The Eels edged the Cowboys 19–18, while Souths snapped a nine-game losing streak with a 22–20 win over the Titans, boosted by the return of Latrell Mitchell and Humpreys.
Souths will be fired up, not just for the occasion, backs-to-the-walls, but also for Alex Johnston, who needs three tries to equal Ken Irvine’s premiership record.
Expect drama, but perhaps with less fireworks. Let's trot.
Team Lists
Souths v Eels, Saturday, 16 August 2025, 7:35pm AEST, Allianz Stadium, Sydney
Weather: Windy 20-25kmh, earlier rain, coolish 10-11C, 50% humidity
Sportsbet: Eels $1.63, Souths $2.28. Now, Eels $1.43, Souths $2.84 with news Latrell is out.
Referees: Gerard Sutton (on-field), Matt Noyen (bunker), Drew Oultram & Kasey Badger (touch judges)
| Souths: | Eels: |
|
1. Jye Gray Cut: 3.Latrell Mitchell
|
1. Joash Papali’i Cut: 19. Dan Keir |
| Coach: W Bennett |
Coach: J Ryles
|
|
Ins: Shaquai Mitchell, |
Ins: Isaiah Iongi (returning from a hand injury) Outs: Dean Hawkins |
Latrell out, Cody Walker on bench, Iongi is named at Six but may play at fullback, Hawkins is out.
Holding the Torch
Souths will honour Indigenous icons, with Olympic gold medallist Cathy Freeman ringing the Legacy Bell alongside Greg Inglis. Tallis Duncan reflected.
“[Freeman’s gold medal] is something you learn about growing up. The run is amazing but then you learn what was behind it… to meet her is pretty special.”
Getty Image: Freeman with Inglis after Souths' 2014 grand final victory.
Random Stats
This century, the Eels have only beaten Souths once when trailing at half-time. It was back in 2010, down 2–8.
Mitchell Matters. During this year and last year's rough seasons for Souths: When he doesn’t play they win 25% (5 of 20). When he plays they win 38% (9 of 24). They score more, and concede less when he plays.
Edge Battles
On the Cusp of History. Alex Johnston has scored 18 tries in 15 games against the Eels. He will test the Eels right edge.
Souths have the third-most lethal left edge and will target the Eels’ right edge. A weakness the Cowboys exploited last week for all their three tries. Humphreys may use short kicks, a tactic that’s worked for the Storm and the Cowboys. Papali’i should brace for aerial raids.
Souths’ left edge is also the second-most leaky, giving Moses a chance to hit Lomax, Guymer or Penisini. MOMAX time? Their right edge isn’t much better: another Fox double?
Flying Fox: Addo-Carr has 14 tries in 14 games.
Defensive Trends
Souths have missed more tackles than any team this season and rank second-worst for ineffective ones (nearly 40 a game). The Eels aren’t far behind for missed tackles, sixth-worst, yet have shown resilience.
Last week Souths defended patiently, sliding well and forcing the Titans towards the sideline. The Eels will need to be more direct and use variation, not just sweeping coast-to-coast.
In the Middle
The ruck battle looms large. Ryley Smith has been a standout with Tallyn Da Silva still finding his feet in our systems. Expect Brandon Smith around the 20-minute mark for punch. He made a telling bust last week despite some rust.
Final Word
Souths are a different side without Latrell, a far weaker one with less fireworks, even with Humphreys and Brandon Smith back. But will we see trainers act as extra players and fullbacks? High shots on Papali'i go unpunished? A Moses spray? Who will score more: The Fox or AJ?
Moses’ captaincy will be crucial, leaning on Paulo, Williams, Lomax, Hopgood and Addo-Carr. Also, the Eels must cut errors as that almost cost them against the Cowboys and Broncos or face the consequences.
Missing Mitchell is Massive. Souths are long odds. But history suggests we shouldn't write Souths off completely. Add Indigenous pride, Johnston’s milestone, back-to-the-walls fight, and Souths may rise to the occasion against all odds.
Strap your seatbelts on.
Eels celebrate last week's close encounter against the Cowboys.
Spoon alert Sportsbet: Titans ($1.91), Knights ($2.88), Souths ($5.50), Eels ($23), Cowboys ($71), St George ($251)
Replies
Poor bloody coach owns this mace, as does the captain
Yeah coach definitely does. Did you watch presser and see Moses body language? Unless he was just super embarrassed at what he dished up. Maybe got the shits with being partnered with Joash (poor kid he just ain't a six)? Got frustrations written all over him (Moses).
Games like this just show that this club has no interest in developing a solid culture. Turning up to the ground will do. There's Melbourne with their halfback and fullback missing and they defeat a team on the charge. Souths could have turned up with a Flegg team and still won. Enjoy the 14th loss.
Didn't need a game of footy to tell me that after how they treated Gutho and Simmo. Players who loved the club and played each and every game with passion told they're not needed.
Lol are you serious Joel. Gutherson loved the club so much every time his contract was up he shat down the clubs throat, or did u forget about that???
Yeah Gutho who played all but 3 games in a year where we played for the spoon.
Love it how this loss people say they have no care or effort, yet 3 weeks ago take down Brisbane in Brisbane.
Easier and more entertaining to complain though.
The left side creates nothing.
They we're so much more desperate in defense.
No short passing game through the middle,we were winning the collision we were so hell bent on going round South's instead of playing through them.TDS I mean what's the point in having a runner at dummy half when we want to continue to play around South s who had us covered most of the night.
Whod have thought a showing desperation defensively and completing high wins games wow what did we do the opposite.Piss poor team performance and tactically our in game management sucked monkeys arse.
Jye Gray well done son you showed up everyone on the park.
Watch them randomly show up next week v roosters and win that game somehow 😂 they function way better as the underdog lol
It's not funny eli. it is still here despite Ryles. It is one of our genetic diseases at this point
It's just way easier to play as an underdog pressure is 0. They do need to learn how to handle expectation but and that will be on Ryles to install in the club
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