Our best chance of a miracle

I've spent all day, lamenting that we had no hope but I've cut the numbers and I've come up with a daring path for us to make the eight.

In my view the key is not for the Warriors to beat Brisbane, its for Brisbane to beat the Warriors and then ideally to beat Raiders in the final game.

If Brisbane beats the Warrior and we smoke Souths, at the end of next week the ladder would look like this

Warriors 28

Raiders 28

Brisbane 28

Eels 26

Now lets assume we beat Warriors and Brisbane beats Raiders. Its now

Brisbane 30
Warriors 28

Raiders 28

Eels 28

And it comes down to points differential. Raiders are within sight and if the results go as I've outlined here, I think we'll pass them on for and against unless they absolutely smoke North Queensland. Currently the points difference between us and Warriors is 63. Lets assume a nice 16 point win for us and a 10 point loss to Brisbane. Brings it back close to around 40, then it requires us to win by 20 in the final round because the margin will be doubled in terms of for and against.

I personally think this is a much more likely scenario than the other way around, which requires Canberra to lose to North Queensland or some big losses.

"Yeah but when you consider he just signed his extension in January this year I doubt he will be getting out this soon unless he has a get out clause if O'Brien gets sacked."

"Didn't have to ask Dyl twice if he'd like to participate in a 3 way. One should learn the devils in the details, young DylBoobs. Love to be a fly on the wall when he rocks up . "

Replies

My Bob August 23, 2010 at 11:24pm

Can you send this to DA and Burty and the boys. They need to believe!!
jamesy August 23, 2010 at 11:27pm

we will smash souths and all the results go our way and then all we will need to do is beat the warriors, but we will do what we have done all year, get our hopes up and then choke.
Jpav August 23, 2010 at 11:28pm

yeah i read this scenario in the sydney morning herald today, which gives me hope that mabe just mabe we can make it, even tho its highly unlikely but you never know. this comp has so many twists and turns
1Eyed Eel August 23, 2010 at 11:29pm

Fuck that Jamesy, we've got six months to sook during the off-season. If I'm going to go down and going to go down fighting.
Hish August 23, 2010 at 11:57pm

Phil so you don't think Newcastle will come into the equation? I have a feeling Melb will throw the game against them last round.
- 1Eyed Eel > Hish August 24, 2010 at 12:40am
  
  I think the Dragons will beat them this weekend. They have the minor premiership on the line.
Tinkerbell August 24, 2010 at 6:53am

I'm with you Phil!

Come on Jamesy - you have a whole off season to whinge (about the losses, about KK's bad haircut).

Believe for ONE MORE WEEK! :-)
Wild_Eels August 24, 2010 at 10:50am

We have one more week to dream, come on Jamesy join with us. Go Parra
slip August 24, 2010 at 10:53am

When you rely on other teams to win/lose, you are gone! Sorry :(
ParraNutta August 24, 2010 at 10:59am

Your right Phil, if your going down, go down fighting till the end!

We got at least two games left with Captain Courageous Cayless and we might as well enjoy them. Anything else is a bonus.

Whats the worst that can happen?? We build our hopes up and then smash all our dreams to pieces??

It's not like it hasn't happened before. It been like this since 86.

If we don't get there we will live to fight another day next season. Its what being a Eel is all about.

But for now we FIGHT!

I would love to see the look on Burty's face if we pulled off the miracle.