Is $10 to win good odds?

Which would be smarter:

$2000 on Roosters at $1.05 (20:1)

$10 on Eels at $10 (1:10)?

Both would pay $100

back of envelop estimate of our chances of winning is about (1:33)

[Based on requiring half of below variables to be true

1. Roosters need to have an off day = 1:4

2. Eels need to kick most of our goals = 1:4

3. Eels need to make few errors and concede few penalties = 1:3

4. Defence out-wide has to be good, which considering new combinations = 1:2

5. Both Kelly and Toutai need to have decent games = 1:4

6. We need our two players out of our halves and outside backs to fire in attack = 1:3]

So unfortunately $2000 on the Roosters seems the better odds but I still reckon we will win tonight - just feels right.

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  • We certainly will not win tonight
  • We are playing tomorrow
  • Not worth betting on this game
  • if you want to blow $2000 go to king cross you will in joy it better

    • maybe but beating the Roosters would be pretty enjoyable - the wife supports the Roosters
    • Haha Paul.
      When are you going? Meet you there.
  • This reply was deleted.
    • With Takarangi out and Kelly instead of Sandow, the odds must be great on us getting13 points
      Hope you win though
  • 13+ is only paying $41 - should be 500:1
    We are out to $11 for a win now
  • They might rest Maloney

    Hastings IN

    chance.

  • I'll make both those bets, then there's no risk... And I'll definitely win I think...
This reply was deleted.

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