In my pre- teen years I started backing race horses. I continued on for many years, even attending race meetings under the age allowed. The big go in those times was the form guides in the newspapers and in papers devoted to horse racing. Invariably, those papers had pages and pages on the track work done by the horses as they were prepared for the coming race meeting.We would be told that Dogsbody ran his track work, 5 furlongs in about a minute,and was worthy of consideration. What that really meant was that we should back Dogsbody!
Today, there is no mention of any track work results. Why would that be? Well, over fifty or more years we mug punters came to realise that the track work done by a race horse had no relationship to how the horse would perform in a race. So, the papers do not print track work results any more. What is true of race horses is true of rugby league teams training. What they do on the training field has no relationship on how they will perform in a real match.
What is significant in the form guides of horses today is that the performance of horses in recent, previous races are listed just as they were years and years ago. That is, to tell how a horse may run in a race today, you need to know how it was performing in, say, the last three or four races it had run. Just as to tell how a league side may perform in a real match, you need to know how it performed recently in a real match, not what it had done on the training field which is a wast of time as a guide.
To back a winner in a horse race you need to determine the class horse in the race. It is not easy! But class will win out of turn. The class horse must be in form. That is, must be in the period when horses are in form, about three or for weeks. The class horse results will be consistent and 'good'. If you determine the class horse`s price to be, say, 3 to 1 and you can get, say, 5 to 1 about it --go for it ,,thats a good bet. I have not bet in years. It`s mugs game! Gamble responsibly!
Replies
Amazing insight, pick the best horse in the race and put money on it. Thanks for the tip i have been doing it wrong all these years.
And anyone who thinks trackwork isn't a good guide is kidding themselves.
Only way to get a sure win is to fix the race.
hey horo you are a fe****g nark
What did I learn from this blog,
Do not Gamble and read blogs that confuse the shite out of you. Just for the record RL stick to the footy, this way we can all comment with some knowledge.
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