Since 2000, i have gone through each of the GF rematches and seen the result. It is quite even.
2000: Premiers Melbourne, rematch won (Mind you lost first 4, beat St. George Illawarra in the rematch 70-10).
2001: Premiers Brisbane, rematch lost.
2002: Premiers Newcastle, rematch won.
2003: Premiers Sydney, rematch lost.
2004: Premiers Penrith, rematch won.
2005: Premiers Canterbury, rematch lost.
2006: Premiers Wests, rematch lost.
2007: Premiers Brisbane, rematch lost.
2008: Premiers Melbourne*, rematch won.
2009: Premiers Manly, rematch lost.
2010: Premiers Melbourne*, rematch lost (Justice)
2011: Premiers St. George Illawarra, rematch won.
2012: Premiers Manly, rematch won.
2013: Premiers Melbourne, rematch won.
2014: Premiers Sydney, rematch lost.
2015: Premiers South Sydney, rematch won.
2016: Premiers North Queensland, rematch lost.
2017: Premiers Cronulla, rematch won.
2018: Premiers Melbourne, rematch won.
2019: Premiers Sydney, rematch won.
2020: Premiers Sydney, rematch lost.
2021: Premiers Melbourne, rematch lost.
2022: Premiers Penrith, rematch won.
So of the last 23 GF rematches, the reigning premiers have won 11. Just under half. So that is promising. Also, by Round 22 in 2022. Penrith had 2 losses, both from Parramatta. We lift for these games.
Are omen's or stats like this believable? I mean sort of, i think it is half and half. But I do believe in some; like if you have 50 put on you, you cannot win the comp, miss the top 4 and you cannot win the comp.
But this favours us a little. Am i confident? Well not overly but i would not be surprised of an upset. This is massive and honestly it lands on BA to get us up.
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1-3 will rejuvenate us and confidence will be back since we will have beaten the Premiers who are still the comp favorites. 0-4 and it's curtains for the season. Even if we do go on a run and get back to a 50% win ratio we'll have to win a fuckload of "backs to the wall" games at the end of the season something we are crap at.
The problem is the Mitch is a massive pussy and can't get us over the line. Our 0-3 and down to him for being shit at kicking and not being about to dictate the crucial moments. I'm so over him with his prolonged contract saga. Fuck him off already and go for someone else. 1,5 million for that loser? What a joke. It's not just him. Throw Waqa, Simo and Matto on the fire together with BA. It's all happened on his watch.
He is a big Pussy...totally agree, when the going gets tough we got one half that turns into a space cadet (Dylbaaaags) and another that goes MIA...We go 0-4 season over 100%
Got to hand it to you LB, you come up with most of the blogs on this site and your most likely responsible for half the traffic. Are you on a bonus scheme related to the number of posts you make LOL.
BTW, this is a nothing post but will help pass the time until kick-off tonight.
Only if someone is passionate do they go through the trouble and time for such postings. He's not paid, he just loves.
Good on you, LB.
I just love stats and contributing and like to use a platform to put my thoughts on. I wish i was paid hahaha, have some extra pocket money during the week for betting on horses and footy haha.
I do not get many comments even on my most impressive list but i do it as i can air out my frustration or praise and look back on it myself.
Love your contributions mate. Do you know how to work the DMs on this site? I shot you one, I have a question for you :)
Could give it a go for sure. Always up to chat.
Don't let no one discourage you from posting blogs , keep doing what you are doing .
Yep he's doing a great service for the site.
Lands on Ba to get us up. Thats an easy out ! ............. Id be happy if Penisini dosnt drop the ball next to the line, or Waqa dosnt fall off a tackle or drop a kick, that Gutho dosnt throw an intercept, That Moses kicks his goals, That Hodgson gets back onside, that carty dosnt throw a failed miracle ball or that Sivo dosnt kick on the first tackle. I could add that if Dylan can stay on his feet when playing the ball id be a lot happier as well.
Sometimes you have to look within and find your own game and your own standards. Id suggest perhaps they just stay switched on in the moment and understand the state of the game at certain times. Not sure how you coach that, so it stays.
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