The Butterfly effect is the concept that small causes can have large effects. It is a tenet of Chaos Theory, which says that even the smallest of occurrences, such as the flutter of a butterfly's wings, can ultimately cause a typhoon halfway around the world.
Possession is a rugby league concept, It is a simply assumption they who control possession, are most likely to win the outcome. So how does one achieve possession? by limiting mistakes and keeping the ball safe? that's seems like a rather simple answer.
But what if Chaos Theory is applied? could limiting mistakes and keeping the ball safe be the biggest mistake in achieving possession? By altering your play to limited risk, you are changing the initial conditions.
Other teams see this, they play differently to what is initially expected, they condense their defensive line, they commit more players to a tackle, they win the ruck, increasing physical pressure on the attack until it hits a point of chaos, frustration and fatigue set in decreasing the value of possession.
The simply answer is indeed the most predictable.
So what is the answer? well that depends, answering it may change the question? do you get where i am going with this? So what is the small occurrence that has happened to our rugby league team since last year to cause a typhoon to this years season?
The answer is nothing, we play the same way in a different time and expect the same results.
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